Narges Ghasemiamin; Nasim Arman; Hossein Zeinivand
Abstract
Land use involves exploitation type of land for resolving human different needs. Land use changes is the result of interaction between human and affective factors on environment which is considered in spatial and temporal scale. Awareness of land use rates and its change in time is one of the most important ...
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Land use involves exploitation type of land for resolving human different needs. Land use changes is the result of interaction between human and affective factors on environment which is considered in spatial and temporal scale. Awareness of land use rates and its change in time is one of the most important factors in planning and management. By knowing rate of land use changes time scale, forecasting feature changes will be possible and do appropriate act. In this research, 2014 land use map was prepared by RS with Kappa coefficient of 0.88 and overall accuracy of 0.86 which has high accuracy. For investigating each effective factor on land use in CLUE-S model logistic regression was used and for assessment of logistic regression, ROC curve was used. After determination of demand ratio according to past changes, land use map of 2025 was prepared. Assessment of CLUE-S model showed its high accuracy (Kappa coefficient is 0.88). Also, the results demonstrated that the most land use change are related to forests and ranges to farmlands, as range and forest lands decreases 28.12 and 82.20 present respectively and farmlands increases 10.33 percent until 2025.
