Zarin Foroughi; Siyavash Shayan; Parviz Kardavani
Abstract
The human interventions role, particularly land use changes, is investigated in this research in Kor River hydromorphologic state (upstream of Dorudzan Dam, Fars). Within the steps of this research, there are discrete methods frameworks such as hydrologic model using HEC-HMS, to investigate the effect ...
Read More
The human interventions role, particularly land use changes, is investigated in this research in Kor River hydromorphologic state (upstream of Dorudzan Dam, Fars). Within the steps of this research, there are discrete methods frameworks such as hydrologic model using HEC-HMS, to investigate the effect of land use changes on flood characteristics and Rosgen geomorphologic evaluation model to investigate the effect of land use changes s on environmental resources and geomorphologic changes of the river. Results of hydrologic studies by HEC-HMS indicated that in the studied time interval, the number and the value of peak discharges are increased and the delay time and concentration time are reduced. Through simulation results for 1993-2013, this indicated that land use changes have increased the amount of flood discharge by 15% in this region and these findings are corresponds with observed floods. The results of Rosgen geomorphologic evaluation model, indicated that during studied time interval, maximum hydromorphologic changes in level 1 and 2 of Rosgen model were related to spatial ranges 1 and 2 and then ranges 4, 5 and 3 followed. In all studied spatial intervals, there are numerous transversal and longitudinal changes due to erodible boundaries and maximum changes are related to 2, 1, 3, 4 and 5 spatial intervals, respectively. The transversal changes were due to slope change, hydrologic regime, suspended and bed load, aggression to riparian lands and constructing dams.
Behnoush Farrokhzadeh; Sepideh Choobeh; Hamid Nouri; Massoud Goodarzi
Abstract
In addition to climate change, the land use changes as an ancillary factor affects flooding. Thus evaluation of impacts of climate change and land use change (together) on flood situation in the coming decades will open a new way to deal with this phenomenon. In this research, to study the effects of ...
Read More
In addition to climate change, the land use changes as an ancillary factor affects flooding. Thus evaluation of impacts of climate change and land use change (together) on flood situation in the coming decades will open a new way to deal with this phenomenon. In this research, to study the effects of climate change on 2020s in Balighloo Chai Watershed, HadCM3 under A2 and B1 senarios was downscaled with LARS-WG. Results showed an increase between 8.78 to 12.86 percent in average of annual rainfall in 2020s. Average annual temperture increases 0.66 °C in 2020s. After examining past hanges in land use, two scenarios were developed to predict the impact of land use changes on the runoff in the coming decades: the first scenario assumes a constant in current land use and the second scenario assumes continuation of changes rate during past decades in the future. Results showed a decrease between nine percent in rangelands and five percent increase in agricultural lands area respectively in 2020s. In order to simulate the hydrologic system in the coming decades, HEC-HMS model was calibrated and validated using data of past period, and was used with new curve number, impersive area and hytograph estimated for the future decades. Then the coming decades predicted hydrographs were compared to the past ones. Results showed an increase in peak flow and flood volume in April while they will decrease in March, May and June. If land use change occures with climate change, this increase will be intensified.
